HardReasoning
Estimate Complexity
A Fermi estimate with the reasoning shown, not just the number.
Best AI for: Complex Reasoning, Mathematics, Word Problems
Best AI for Estimate Complexity
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Single-shot · temp 0.7 · real votes · identical promptsHow we test →
The prompt
Estimate the total number of FLOPs required to train GPT-3 without searching online. Explain your reasoning step by step.
271 models tested
- Amazon Nova 2 Lite
- Aurora Alpha
- Bert-Nebulon Alpha
- Claude 3 Haiku
- Claude 3.7 Sonnet
- Claude 3.7 Thinking Sonnet
- Claude Fable 5
- Claude Haiku 4.5
- Claude Haiku 5.5
- Claude Opus 4
- Claude Opus 4.1
- Claude Opus 4.5
- Claude Opus 4.6
- Claude Opus 4.7
- Claude Opus 4.8
- Claude Opus 5
- Claude Opus 5.5
- Claude Sonnet 3.6 (2022-10-22)
- Claude Sonnet 4
- Claude Sonnet 4.5
- Claude Sonnet 4.6
- Claude Sonnet 5
- Claude Sonnet 5.5
- Command A+
- Cypher Alpha (free)
- DeepSeek R1
- DeepSeek R1 0528
- DeepSeek V3 (March 2024)
- DeepSeek V3.1
- DeepSeek V3.2
- DeepSeek V3.2 Exp
- DeepSeek V3.2 Speciale
- DeepSeek V4 Flash
- DeepSeek V4 Flash 0731
- DeepSeek V4 Flash Vision Exp
- DeepSeek V4 Pro
- DeepSeek V4 Pro 0813
- DeepSeek V4.1 Flash
- Devstral 2 2512
- Dots3-Note Preview
- Elephant Alpha
- ERNIE 4.5 300B A47B
- Gemini 1.5 Pro
- Gemini 2.0 Flash Thinking
- Gemini 2.0 Pro Experimental
- Gemini 2.5 Flash Lite Preview 09-2025
- Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview
- Gemini 2.5 Flash Preview 09-2025
- Gemini 2.5 Pro (I/O Edition)
- Gemini 2.5 Pro Preview 06-05
- Gemini 3 Flash Preview
- Gemini 3 Pro Preview
- Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite
- Gemini 3.1 Flash Lite Preview
- Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview
- Gemini 3.5 Flash
- Gemini 3.6 Flash
- Gemini 3.7 Flash
- Gemini 3.8 Flash
- Gemini 4 Argon
- Gemini Pro 1.0
- Gemma 3 12B
- Gemma 3 27B
- Gemma 3n 4B
- Gemma 4 26B A4B
- Gemma 4 31B
- GLM 4 32B
- GLM 4.5
- GLM 4.5 Air
- GLM 4.6
- GLM 4.7
- GLM 4.7 Flash
- GLM 5
- GLM 5 Turbo
- GLM 5.1
- GLM 5.2
- GLM 5.3
- GLM 5.3 Flash
- GLM 5.3 FlashX
- GLM 5.3 Prime
- GPT OSS 120B
- GPT OSS 20B
- GPT-3.5 Turbo
- GPT-4
- GPT-4 Turbo
- GPT-4.1
- GPT-4.1 Mini
- GPT-4.1 Nano
- GPT-4.5
- GPT-4o (Omni)
- GPT-4o mini
- GPT-5
- GPT-5 Codex
- GPT-5 Mini
- GPT-5 Nano
- GPT-5 Pro
- GPT-5.1
- GPT-5.1 Chat
- GPT-5.1 Codex Max
- GPT-5.1-Codex
- GPT-5.1-Codex-Mini
- GPT-5.2
- GPT-5.2 Chat
- GPT-5.2 Pro
- GPT-5.3 Chat
- GPT-5.3-Codex
- GPT-5.4
- GPT-5.4 Mini
- GPT-5.4 Nano
- GPT-5.5
- GPT-5.6 Luna
- GPT-5.6 Luna Pro
- GPT-5.6 Sol
- GPT-5.6 Terra
- GPT-6 Astra
- GPT-6 Luna
- GPT-6 Luna Pro
- GPT-6 Sol
- GPT-6 Sol Pro
- GPT-6.1 Sol
- Granite 4.2 8B
- Grok 3
- Grok 3 Beta
- Grok 3 Thinking
- Grok 4
- Grok 4 Fast (free)
- Grok 4.1 Fast
- Grok 4.20 Beta
- Grok 4.20 Multi-Agent Beta
- Grok 4.3
- Grok 4.5
- Grok 4.6
- Grok 4.7
- Grok Code Fast 1
- Healer Alpha
- Horizon Alpha
- Horizon Beta
- Hunter Alpha
- Hy3
- Hy4 Preview
- Inkling
- INTELLECT-3
- Kimi K2
- Kimi K2 0905
- Kimi K2 Thinking
- Kimi K2.5
- Kimi K2.6
- Kimi K2.7 Code
- Kimi K3
- Kimi Linear 48B A3B Instruct
- Laguna S 2.1 (free)
- Laguna XS 2.1 (free)
- LFM2.5-2.6B
- Ling 2.6 1T
- Ling 2.6 Flash
- Ling 3.0 Flash
- Ling 3.0 Flash Fin (free)
- Ling 3.0 Flash Sante (free)
- Ling 3.1 Flash
- Llama 3 70B
- Llama 3.1 70B (Instruct)
- Llama 4 Maverick
- Llama 4 Scout
- Mercury
- Mercury 2
- Mercury 2.5
- Mercury 2.5 Preview
- MiMo-V2-Flash
- MiMo-V2-Omni
- MiMo-V2-Pro
- MiMo-V2.5
- MiMo-V2.5-Pro
- MiMo-V2.6-Flash
- MiMo-V2.6-Pro
- MiniMax M1
- MiniMax M2
- MiniMax M2-her
- MiniMax M2.1
- MiniMax M2.5
- MiniMax M2.7
- MiniMax M3
- Mistral Devstral Medium
- Mistral Devstral Small 1.1
- Mistral Large
- Mistral Large 3 2512
- Mistral Large 4
- Mistral Medium 3
- Mistral Medium 3.1
- Mistral Nemo
- Mistral Small 4
- Mistral Small Creative
- Muse Glimmer 30B
- Muse Spark 1.1
- Muse Spark 1.3
- Muse Spark 1.3 Contributor
- Muse Wonder
- Nemotron 3 Nano Omni (free)
- Nemotron 3 Ultra
- Nemotron 3.5 Content Safety
- Nemotron 3.5 Lightning
- North Mini Code
- Nova Premier 1.0
- NVIDIA Nemotron 3 Super (free)
- NVIDIA Nemotron Nano 9B V2
- o1
- o3 Mini
- OpenAI o3
- OpenAI o4 Mini High
- OpenAI o4-mini
- OpenRouter Fusion · Budget (Jun 2026)
- OpenRouter Fusion · Quality (Jun 2026)
- Optimus Alpha
- Owl Alpha
- Ox Alpha
- PaLM 2 Chat
- Polaris Alpha
- Pony Alpha
- Qwen Plus 0728
- Qwen Plus 0728 (thinking)
- Qwen3 235B A22B
- Qwen3 235B A22B 2507
- Qwen3 235B A22B Thinking 2507
- Qwen3 30B A3B
- Qwen3 30B A3B Instruct 2507
- Qwen3 30B A3B Thinking 2507
- Qwen3 Coder
- Qwen3 Coder Flash
- Qwen3 Coder Next
- Qwen3 Coder Plus
- Qwen3 Max
- Qwen3 Max Thinking
- Qwen3 Next 80B A3B Instruct
- Qwen3 Next 80B A3B Thinking
- Qwen3.5 122B A10B
- Qwen3.5 27B
- Qwen3.5 35B A3B
- Qwen3.5 397B A17B
- Qwen3.5 9B
- Qwen3.5 Flash
- Qwen3.5 Plus 2026-02-15
- Qwen3.5 Plus 2026-04-20
- Qwen3.6 27B
- Qwen3.6 35B A3B
- Qwen3.6 Flash
- Qwen3.6 Max Preview
- Qwen3.6 Plus Preview (free)
- Qwen3.7 Flash
- Qwen3.7 Max
- Qwen3.7 Plus
- Qwen3.8 2.4T A95B
- Qwen3.8 27B
- Qwen3.8 Flash
- Qwen3.8 Max (0902)
- Qwen3.8 Max Prime
- Qwen3.8 Omni Flash
- Ring 2.6 1T
- Seed 2.0 Code
- Seed 2.0 Lite
- Seed 2.1 Turbo
- Sherlock Dash Alpha
- Sherlock Think Alpha
- Solar Mini 4
- Solar Pro 3
- Solar Pro 4
- Sonar Pro Search
- Sonoma Dusk Alpha
- Sonoma Sky Alpha
- Step 5 Preview
- Ternary Bonsai 2 27B
- TNG R1T Chimera
- Trinity Large Preview
How the models did
271 found
Estimate ComplexityEstimated generation cost ~$0.00Taste 25
Estimate ComplexityTaste 8
Estimate ComplexityExact generation cost $0.00084Taste 13
Estimate ComplexityEstimated generation cost ~$0.00009Taste 15
Estimate ComplexityEstimated generation cost ~$0.00019Taste 39
Estimate ComplexityEstimated generation cost ~$0.00009Taste 18